Outcome

Resolved At

March 1, 2026 at 03:50 AM

Reason

$Punch, the pump.fun memecoin with CA NV2RYH954cTJ3ckFUpvfqaQXU4ARqqDH3562nFSpump, reached an all-time high market cap of approximately $58M on February 28, 2026, as reported in multiple X posts from traders and analysts, but never hit $100M MC before the market closure at 2026-03-01T00:00:00+00:00 UTC. Posts consistently show it peaking at 57-58M MC before correcting to 8-12M MC, with no mentions of reaching or surpassing $100M; instead, several posts hyped potential for 100M but confirmed lower figures like 45M, 38M earlier. Extensive X searches for achievements, ATH, and specific 100M references yielded only predictions, not confirmations, confirming it did not occur by closure.

Context

Research via X keyword and semantic searches revealed $Punch launched mid-February 2026, gained traction with Pump.fun Ecosystem highlights (e.g., traders up 80x from 158K MC), pumped virally to 58M ATH amid high volume ($19M+ 24h), but retraced sharply without breaking 100M, unlike initial hype suggested. Compared to initial predictions of balanced moonshot potential with ~13 days left and early hype, it achieved significant growth (from sub-1M to 58M) but fell short of 100M due to typical memecoin volatility and no major catalysts like CEX listings post-peak. Key events: Moonshot verification at 14M (Feb 19), whale buys at 13M (Feb 27), shakeout from ATH (Feb 28); current post-closure MC ~10-12M per latest posts.